Chapter 13 of Punjab Land Records Manual.

Replaces Standing Order No.38, original issue dated 11^th June 1909, First Reprint dated 5^th February 1914.

13.1  Forecast reports have to be submitted by the Deputy Commissioners  and Settlement Officers as noted in paragraph 8.17 of the Punjab Land  Administration Manual  to the Director of Land Records, Punjab, in form F.C.I of the crops shown in the statement below :-

Name of  | Distt. from | Dates on which forecasts are to reach the office of Director of

Crop       |  which the   | Land Records Punjab.  

          | forecase are| ------------------------------------------------------------------------------   

              | required to   | First  | Second  | Third  | Fourth  | Final  |supplementary| Remark

              |be submitted|  Fore  | Forecast| Forec  | Foreca  | Fore  | Forecast           |                      

              |                     |  cast   |              |-ast      |  -st        | -cast  |                        |

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   1               2                  3          4             5            6           7              8           9

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cotton     All Distt.       2^nd         2^nd          29^th        30^th        ..             Ist April

                                      Aug       Oct.       Nov.      Jan.

Wheat      Ditto             7^th Jan   7^th Mar    ..           ..           7^th May        ....

 

Rabi Oil   Ditto           12^th Dec  21^st Jan      ..          ..         5^th May         ...

Seeds

 

Sarshaf

Taramira Ditto            Ditto     Ditto            ..        ..           Ditto

and Toria

      

Sugar Cane Ditto       11^th June  6^th Oct       ..         ..           30^th April     ....

 

Ground Nut Ditto      7^th  Aug    30^th Oct      ..                ..           31^st  Jan      ....

 

Seasamum   Ditto       Ditto       7^th  Oct       ..                 ..           15^th Dec     ....

 

Rice           Ditto       7^th Oct     7^th Dec       ..          ..           5^th Feb     ....

 

Bajra   Ditto       7^th Aug      ..                ..         ..         23^rd Nov   ..

 

Maize       Ditto  n     Ditto        ..                ..          ..        22^nd Nov

 

Barley      Ditto         5^th Jan     5^th Mar        ..         ..         Ist May

 

Gram       Ditto          Ditto      Ditto            ..         ...         Ditto

 

Jawar      Ditto           Ist Aug   ..                  ..         ...        31^st Oct.

 

Other  Ditto       25^th Aug     ..                ..        ...       15^th Dec.

Kharif

pulses mung,

mash moth

and others

 

Tobacco   Ditto       10^th Mar ..            ...        ....           ..      31^st July

 

Other       Ditto         25^th Dec.      ..            ...        ....        20^th Apr.              ..          

Rabi pulses

massar,

peas &

others

 

Ginger    Ditto         ..                                 ...          ....        ....                  .....

Pepper

Chillies

 

Potatoes    Ditto      21^st Jan       ...     ....                 ...     Ist June            ....

 

Sweet        Ditto      ..                ...             ...                 ....     16^th Aug

Potatoes

 

Red gram   Ditto      16^th Aug   15^th Dec.     ...             .....     15^th April        ....

(Tur)

 

Guara  Ditto     '...             15^th Dec.       ..           ....       15^th April

 

Turmeric  Ditto       ..            ..          ...       ...   Ist June

 

San-Hemp Ditto       Ist Aug   ..     ....      ....        .....     .....

 

Garlic      Ditto      16^th Aug    ...     ....           ....        ....      .....

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The potato crop year for purposes of these estimates should be that beginining  with the summer crop and ending with the winter crop. First estimate  should contain areas under potato crop and general information regarding growth  and prospects, and in the final estimates information relating  to area and production of potato  crop be given. In both of these estimates, the figures for summer and winter crops should be shown  separately.

13.2 Importance of punctuality in the despatch of forecasts  -The publication of crop forecasts is always anxiously awaited by business firm.s As delaydetracts greatly from their value, special efforts should be made to despatch all forecasts to the Director of Land Records by their due dates. There should be no difficulty as regards the first and second forecasts which are merely estimates. The third or final forecasts, however, should contain a statement of the actual area sown, together with an estimate of the yield per hectare. Where it is found impossible to complete the crop inspection in time for the inclusion of correct figures of area in the time for the inclusion of correct figures of area in the third or final forecasts, the best possible estimates should be submitted in their place. It should be noted  that revised figures will follow, and these should be despatched as soon as they have been prepared.

13.3  Deleted.

13.4  The Director of Land Records prepares and publishes the State forecasts in Form F.C.2 on the basis of the information supplied by the Deputy Commissioners. In the case of third or final forecasts, the Director of Agriculture checks the tehsils estimtes of outturn with those reported to him by the field officers and then fixes the yield in kilograms per hectare for each district separately for irrigated and unirrigated areas. Then the total outturn of the State is calculated in the Director of Land Records the province is calculated in the Director of Land Records office by applying this yield to the sown area reported by the Deputy Commisioners in their forecasts and a draft report of the forecasts together with a statement is submitted to Director of Agriculture for countersignature.After these forecasts are countersigned by the Director of Agriculture, a copy of each forecast is supplied to the Economic and Statistical Adviser to Government of India, Ministery of Agriculture, New Delhi, Revenue Secretary to Financial Commissioners, Punjab and Controller, Printing and Stationery, Punjab. A copy is also posted at the office of the Director of Land Records, and the Director of Agriculture, Punjab,for the information of the public. Printed copies of forecasts are also supplied gratis to various firms in and outside India.

13.5  Disposal of Forecast reports - The final reports of Forecasts should be retained till next settlement and then handed over to Settlement Oficer. The intermediate reports of  Forecasts should be preserved for two years from the date of submission and then destroyed.

The Director's printed reports on forecasted crops should be similarly disposed of.

13.6 Deleted.

13.7 (1) The estimates of production for the final forecasts and revised estimates should be based on the results of crop-cutting experiments by Random Sampling Methond in the case of crops on which such experiments are carried out in the State.

(2)  The method of framing pre-harvest as well as post-harvest forecasts for crops not covered by the Sample Surveys shall remain the same as before(i.e. on the basis of the normal yield, modified according to the condition factor as ascertained through eye estimation) For framing the final forecasts and revised estimates, the results of the crop-cutting surveys by the Random Sampling Method should be utilized. For the yield of the crops in the State as a sholw and for major Divisions and districts, there should be no difficulty in utilizing the results of such surveys since they give estimates of reasonable  accyracy for these administrative units. With regard to the yield for districts of minor importance from the point of view of croper acreage, however, the crop-cuttingsurveys do not provide results to the same degree of accuracy and, therefore, the data from crop-cutting experiments should be supplemented by ancilliary  information collected at present under the existing official methods such as the product of crop acreage, the normal yield and the condition of crops ascertained through eye estimation.

(3)  Wherever a change is made on the basis of calculating production of a crop from eye estimation to the crop cutting surveys, two sets of figures should be published side  by side arrived at by each method, for a period of two years, in order that the production figures in the current year can, be compared with the previous years and to denote the extent of change in the production estimates made by the old and the new method.

(P.G.Memorandum No.ESA-56/1890 dated the 17^th October,1956)

The Punjab Land Records Maunal................Chapter 13.........paragraph 3......

                           FORM F.C.1

Primary Forecast Return..............

Year........................due on..................

Name of Crop......................................details of cultivation of

Village.................Hadbast No.................Tehsil................Distt........................

_____________________________________________________________Number of      Due on         Total  area in the        Total area in the last year

 Forecoast                               current year           

                            Pure   Mixed  Total      Pure      Mixed      Total

                                    net                                     net

       1            2             3           4           5           6            7                8

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First

Second

Third

Fourth

Final

Supplementary

_____________________________________________________________        _________________________________________

Cause of increase       Details of area of       Valuation of the       Remarks

or decrease     current year (A)        crop in Naye paise 

                  Irriga-     Unirri-       (to a rupee represen

                  ted           gated         ting the normal or

                                           average settlement

                                            yield

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         9                        10                11                       12                     13

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_____________________________________________________________

 

 

 

 

                                    Signature......................

           (a) To be filled in for final forecast only    

                                    Date.............................

 

In the Remarks column mention..................

1.     Whether the sowings were early or in time or late;

2.     Whether the harvesting commenced in time.

3.     Specify gross areas under mixed crops separatelyin the remarkas column.

FORM F.C.II

Forecasts State Return

Forecast report on.....................Crop for the year 19...............

         ............................State

                           AREA IN ACRES

District  Of current  Of previous   Average of  Preceding   Percentage by which column

              year crop    year crop       3 years       5 years        No.2 exceeds or is less than

                                      Column   Column   Column

                                                                            No.3        No.4        No.5

    1             2                 3                   4                5                 6               7           8

-------------Percentage    Of  Current year 's    Of Previous year's       Average of  Preceding

of each          crop only                   crop only                    3 years               5 years

irrigated in

the current

year

9                         10                                 11                       12                         13

                           YIELD IN TONS

Percentage by which column no.10     Condition  factor   Harvest price        Remarks

exceeds or is less than          

Column     Column       Column

No.11         No.12          No.13

14                 15               16                         17                          18                    19

Due Date fixed by Central Government...............................................

 

Date of which return is despatched......................................................

 

Reasons of delay, if any.......................................................................